Trends in Shoplifting Statistics

The participants in our Annual Retail Theft Survey are all large retailers with AP/LP staffs dedicated to the prevention of theft (internal and external). Most use EAS, CCTV, security packaging, lock-up devices / cases, EBR (exception-based reporting) software, various  pre-employment screening tools, and have thorough AP/LP training and awareness programs. They first prevent theft and make apprehensions as a last resort.  Yet, shoplifting apprehensions continue to rise.

I thought it would be interesting to look back at the last ten years of statistics from our Annual Retail Theft Surveys and look for any shoplifting trends. I found the following:

Note 1: Survey participants change slightly from year to year, so “% Change” is based on common participants for that year who also supplied statistics for the previous year.

Note 2: 2020 was *Covid year

Survey Participant Information

Survey    Year     # Retailers    # Stores    Retail Sales

35th          2022             26            22,182        $704 Billion

34th          2021             25           22,751        $656 Billion

33rd          2020*           22            18,594         $507 Billion

32nd         2019             21            18,994        $510 Billion

31st           2018             20           13,674         $331 Billion

30th          2017             21           16,409        $428 Billion

29th          2016             23            16,038        $377 Billion

28th          2015             25            21,288        $703 Billion

27th          2014             25            23,250        $703 Billion

26th          2013             23            23,204        $669 Billion

Shoplifting Apprehensions/Recoveries/Avg Case Value

               Appr           $ Recover       Avg SL             Avg Case

Year     + / – %        + / – %              Case Value     Val +/-

2022      + 50.9%       + 90.5               $  802.01          + 26.2%

2021      –  16.2%        + 06.1%           $1,178.58          + 26.6%

2020*    –  43.8%       –  36.5%            $  310.11            + 13.0%

2019      + 03.0%       + 03.5%           $  288.71           + 00.5%

2018      –  11.7%        –  01.4%          $  301.97           + 11.8%

2017      + 02.3%       + 12.9%            $  381.25           + 10.4%

2016      – 00.2%       –  00.9%             $  203.18           –  00.7%

2015       + 02.0%       + 03.2%           $  128.86           + 01.2%

2014      + 07.4%       + 07.5%           $  133.80           + 00.3%

2013      + 02.5%       + 04.5%           $  130.89           + 02.0%

SL Recovery Dollars w/o an Apprehension Made        

Year                $ Recovered              Percent Increase/Decrease

2022               $485 million                  + 44.1%

2021               $339 million                  + 51.5%

2020*             $ 87 million                   – 42.8%

2019               $176 million                 + 11.0%

2018               $126 million                  –  1.4%

2017                $185 million                 + 18.1%

2016               $163 million                  + 14.6%

2015                $142 million                 + 18.8%

2014               $ 82 million                   + 15.2%

2013               $ 98 million                   + 22.2%

Trends or highlights over the past 10 years include:

  • The average shoplifting case value has risen in 9 of the past 10 years.
  • The average shoplifting case value has increased more than 530% over the past 10 years.
  • The dollars recovered from shoplifters where no apprehension was made – shoplifter was identified and ditched merchandise prior to leaving the store – has increased by double digits almost every year!
  • Dollars recovered from shoplifters where no apprehension was made have skyrocketed the last 2 years.  $
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